Have you been paying attention to shares of
Enphase Energy (ENPH)
? Shares have been on the move with the stock up 19% over the past month. The stock hit a new 52-week high of $338.16 in the previous session. Enphase Energy has gained 83.7% since the start of the year compared to the 41.6% move for the Zacks Oils-Energy sector and the 33.7% return for the Zacks Solar industry.
What’s Driving the Outperformance?
The stock has an impressive record of positive earnings surprises, as it hasn’t missed our earnings consensus estimate in any of the last four quarters. In its last earnings report on October 25, 2022, Enphase Energy reported EPS of $1.25 versus consensus estimate of $1.07 while it beat the consensus revenue estimate by 2.95%.
For the current fiscal year, Enphase Energy is expected to post earnings of $4.38 per share on $2.31 billion in revenues. This represents an 81.74% change in EPS on a 66.83% change in revenues. For the next fiscal year, the company is expected to earn $5.59 per share on $3.11 billion in revenues. This represents a year-over-year change of 27.63% and 35.03%, respectively.
Valuation Metrics
Enphase Energy may be at a 52-week high right now, but what might the future hold for the stock? A key aspect of this question is taking a look at valuation metrics in order to determine if the company has run ahead of itself.
On this front, we can look at the Zacks Style Scores, as these give investors a variety of ways to comb through stocks (beyond looking at the Zacks Rank of a security). These styles are represented by grades running from A to F in the categories of Value, Growth, and Momentum, while there is a combined VGM Score as well. The idea behind the style scores is to help investors pick the most appropriate Zacks Rank stocks based on their individual investment style.
Enphase Energy has a Value Score of D. The stock’s Growth and Momentum Scores are A and A, respectively, giving the company a VGM Score of A.
In terms of its value breakdown, the stock currently trades at 76.7X current fiscal year EPS estimates, which is a premium to the peer industry average of 65X. On a trailing cash flow basis, the stock currently trades at 165.3X versus its peer group’s average of 22.1X. Additionally, the stock has a PEG ratio of 1.62. This isn’t enough to put the company in the top echelon of all stocks we cover from a value perspective.
Zacks Rank
We also need to look at the Zacks Rank for the stock, as this supersedes any trend on the style score front. Fortunately, Enphase Energy currently has a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy) thanks to rising earnings estimates.
Since we recommend that investors select stocks carrying Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) and Style Scores of A or B, it looks as if Enphase Energy meets the list of requirements. Thus, it seems as though Enphase Energy shares could still be poised for more gains ahead.
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