Emerson Electric Co.
EMR
is set to release first-quarter fiscal 2022 (ended December 2021) results on Feb 2, before market open.
The company’s earnings beat estimates in each of the last four quarters, the surprise being 10.69%, on average. In the last reported quarter, Emerson’s earnings of $1.21 per share beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.19 by 1.68%.
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In the past three months, the company’s shares have lost 7.3% compared with the
industry
’s decline of 8.1%.
Factors at Play
Emerson is expected to have benefited from strength across its cold chain, food and beverage, residential heating, ventilation and air conditioning end markets in first-quarter fiscal 2022. Also, improvements in process automation end market, coupled with the company’s robust backlog level at Automation Solutions and Commercial & Residential Solutions segments, are likely to have acted as tailwinds in the to-be-reported quarter.
Acquisitions made by the company positively impacted its revenues by 1% in fourth-quarter fiscal 2021 (ended September 2021), a trend which is likely to have continued in the to-be-reported quarter as well, given the strength across its acquired businesses. Emerson’s acquisition of Mita-Teknik (December 2021) has been expanding its presence in the renewable energy market. It acquired Progea Group and Open Systems International in the first quarter of fiscal 2021 (ended December 2020). While the Progea acquisition has enhanced the company’s offerings within control and embedded software space, the Open Systems buyout has boosted its offerings under the Automation Solutions segment.
Emerson’s focus on operational execution, along with investments in product innovation and digital initiatives, is likely to have supported its fiscal first-quarter performance.
However, over time, the escalating cost of sales and operating expenses have been a concern for Emerson. In fourth-quarter fiscal 2021, its cost of sales increased 10.3% year over year, while selling and administrative expenses jumped 11.4%. It has been witnessing supply-chain challenges and an increase in raw material costs. High costs and expenses might have adversely impacted its margin and profitability in the to-be-reported quarter.
Given Emerson’s extensive regional presence, its operations are subject to global economic, political risks and forex woes. A stronger U.S. dollar might have hurt the company’s overseas business in the fiscal first quarter.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Automation Solutions’ revenues for the fiscal first quarter is currently pegged at $2,861 million, indicating a 10% decline from the quarter-ago reported number. The consensus estimate for revenues from the Commercial and Residential Solutions segment is pegged at $1,606 million, indicating a sequential decrease of 9.5%.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the company’s fiscal first-quarter total revenues is currently pegged at $4,470 million, suggesting 7.4% growth from the year-ago figure but a 9.6% decline from the quarter-ago reported number. The consensus estimate for earnings of 99 cents suggests an improvement of 19.3% year over year and a fall of 18.2% sequentially.
Earnings Whispers
According to our quantitative model, a stock needs to have the combination of a positive
Earnings ESP
and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy), or at least 3 (Hold) to increase the odds of an earnings beat. But that is not the case here, as we will see below.
You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with our
Earnings ESP Filter
.
Earnings ESP
: Emerson has an Earnings ESP of -1.18%, as the Most Accurate Estimate is pegged at 98 cents, lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 99 cents.
Emerson Electric Co. Price and EPS Surprise
Emerson Electric Co. price-eps-surprise
|
Emerson Electric Co. Quote
Zacks Rank
: The company carries a Zacks Rank #3.
Key Picks
Here are some companies you may want to consider, as our model shows that these have the right combination of elements to post an earnings beat this season:
Illinois Tool Works Inc.
ITW
has an Earnings ESP of +0.22% and a Zacks Rank #3 at present. You can see
the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here
.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Illinois Tool’s earnings is pegged at $1.89 per share for the fourth quarter of 2021. ITW’s shares have gained 1.3% in the past three months.
Expedia Group, Inc.
EXPE
has an Earnings ESP of +4.64% and a Zacks Rank of 3, currently.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Expedia’s earnings is pegged at 97 cents per share for the fourth quarter of 2021. EXPE’s shares have gained 4.2% in the past three months.
Flowserve Corporation
FLS
has an Earnings ESP of +2.08% and a Zacks Rank of 3 at present.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Flowserve’s earnings is pegged at 48 cents per share for the fourth quarter of 2021. FLS’ shares have lost 3.6% in the past three months.
Stay on top of upcoming earnings announcements with the
Zacks Earnings Calendar
.
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